Delavan Real Estate & Mortgage Blog

Using data compiled in December, Standard & Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday.  The report shows home prices down just 2.5% on an annual basis, a figure much lower than the 8.7% annual drop reported after Q3.

According to Case-Shiller representatives, the housing market is “in better shape than it was this time last year,” but some of the summer’s momentum has been lost.  15 of 20 tracked markets declined in value between November and December 2009.

Meanwhile, it’s interesting to note the 5 markets that didn’t decline — Detroit, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego.  Each of these metro regions were among the hardest hit nationwide when home prices first broke.  Now, they’re leading the pack in price recovery.

For some real estate investors, that’s a positive signal.  But we also have to consider the Case-Shiller Index’s flaws because they’re big ones.

As examples:

1. Case-Shiller data is reported on a 2-month lag
2. The Case-Shiller sample set includes just 20 U.S. cities
3. There’s no “national real estate market” — real estate is local.  The Delavan real estate market is as unique as any in the nation.

That said, the Case-Shiller Index is still important.  As the most widely-used private sector housing index, Case-Shiller helps to identify broader housing trends and many people believe housing is a key element in the economic recovery.

If the markets that led the housing decline will lead the housing resurgence, December’s data shows that full recovery is right around the corner.

Travis Egan Asst Vice President Walworth State Bank 1221 South Shore Drive Delavan, Wisconsin, 53115 US	Work: 262-728-6209 Mobile: 262-745-5055 tegan@walworthbank.com www.walworthbank.com
Lender, Delavan Real Estate

There are many newspapers in Delavan, Wisconsin and throughout the country that report on what current Delavan real estate mortgage interest rates are.  The problem is they rarely hit the nail on the head.  Whis is this?

 The reporters use flawed data when reporting this information.  They use the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.  What makes this data flawed?

I’m glad you asked.  This blog post explains clearly: Lake Geneva Real Estate Mortgage Rates.

According to the Census Bureau, 2.8 million people commute to work 90 minutes or more each day, in each direction.  That is often the case in Delavan, Wisconsin as well.

Now, your daily commute may not be as long, but time spent in cars, trains and buses is time away from work and from family.  Drive-time can affect a person’s Quality of Life and it’s one reason why Forbes Magazine’s Best and Worst Commutes is worth reviewing.

Measuring travel time, road congestion and travel delays in the 60 largest metropolitan areas, Forbes ranks city commutes from best-to-worst with Salt Lake City topping the list and Tampa-St. Petersburg finishing it.

The Top 5 Commutes, as compiled by Forbes:

1. Salt Lake City, Utah
2. Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York
3. Rochester, New York
4. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wisconsin
5. Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York

The bottom 5 are Tampa-St. Petersburg, Detroit, Atlanta, Orlando, and Dallas-Forth Worth.

Long commutes shouldn’t deter you from moving to a particular city, but the potential commute should be consideration.  Before making an offer on your next home, make a rush-hour commute to work from your potential new neighborhood.   Then imagine doing it every day.  Now I used to drive to Milwaukee from Delavan.  That never seemed like a great commute, but I can’t imagine living in the worst cities.  Delavan real estate is very attractive if you wish to make the commute to Milwaukee or Madison.

You can read the complete Forbes list of Best and Worst Cities for Commuters on its website.

Travis Egan Asst Vice PresidentWalworth State Bank 1221 South Shore Dr Delavan, Wisconsin, 53115 US	Work: 262-728-4203Mobile: 262-745-5055 tegan@walworthbank.com www.TravisEgan.com
Lender, Delavan Real Estate

Consumer Sentiment has been on the rise since last February and it’s something to which Delavan real estate home buyers should pay attention. 

The affordability of your next home may hinge on consumer confidence.

As the economy recovers from a near-the-brink recession, many of the elements of a full recovery are in place.  Business investment is returning, household spending is expanding, and financial systems are gaining strength. 

Consumer confidence is at a 2-year high.

What’s missing from the recovery, though, is jobs growth.  Another net 20,000 jobs were lost in January. Data like that hinders economic growth.

That said, twenty-thousand jobs lost is a much better figure than the several hundred thousand that were shed per month throughout early-2009, but it’s still a net negative number.  Not only does household income drop when Americans lose jobs but so does the average American’s confidence in his or her own economic future.

This is one reason why jobs growth is so closely watched by Wall Street — jobs are linked to higher confidence levels which, in turn, is believed to spur consumer spending.

Consumer spending represents 70% of the U.S. economy.

As confidence rises, it could be good news for the economy, but bad news for home buyers. More spending expands the economy and, all things equal, that leads mortgage rates higher. 

Same for home prices. More confidence means more buyers which, in turn, squeezes the supply-and-demand curve in favor of sellers.

Later this morning, the University of Michigan will release its February Consumer Sentiment survey. If the reading is higher-than-expected, prepare for mortgage rates to rise and home affordability to worsen.

Travis Egan Asst Vice PresidentWalworth State Bank 1221 South Shore Dr Delavan, Wisconsin, 53115 US	Work: 262-728-4203Mobile: 262-745-5055 tegan@walworthbank.com www.TravisEgan.com
Lender, Delavan Real Estate

I saw an article today on washingtonpost.com website that a person with some knowledge in the Treasury Department is suggesting that banks will lend mortgages at 4.5% for new home purchases.

It got me thinking.  Are interest rates really what’s keeping people from buying real estate in Lake Geneva, Delavan, Elkhorn, Williams Bay or anywhere in Wisconsin for that matter?  I mean rates have already fallen to the mid 5’s on many Wisconsin FHA mortgages. 

I believe the answer may simpler than the experts think.  Read about it here.

I find it alarming that so many so-called mortgage professionals and journalists have consistently and loudly proclaiming this as fact.  In reality, nothing could be further from the truth.  Those of us who have toiled for years advising, counseling, and preparing our clients for homeownership have known this program to be one of the finest loan programs available for first time homebuyers in this or any market.  We extol the virtues of this program because it is NOT  a means to avoid showing underwriters the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth, but the opposite.  The reason FHA will NEVER become the “new” subprime is because everything is verified.

All aspects of FHA mortgages are meticulously verified.

• The borrower’s income is verified.
• The borrower’s assets are verified.
• The borrower’s credit is verified.
• The appraisal is verified and underwritten.
• Social Security numbers are verified.
• Dates of birth are verified.
• Borrower’s are checked against a list to ensure they have not defrauded the government or failed to live up to prior agreements with the government.

It is true that opportunities in the underwriting standards allow the consumer to explain blemishes or situations that do not fit into the norm.  These explanations must be reasonable and documented.  This is the first and most direct opposition to a comparison with “subprime” mortgages.  Most of those programs did not require such scrutiny of the borrower or their finances.  Many of the homeowner’s, who lost their homes, were not properly advised when they were placed into mortgages they could not reasonably afford.  FHA has checks and balances to avoid these indiscretions.

The broad blanket that many cast as a means of comparing FHA and “subprime” do the FHA loan program a horrible injustice.  FHA mortgages have helped many homeowners realize the dream of homeownership.  Will there be foreclosures that come from people who have FHA mortgages?  Unfortunately, yes.  There will always be circumstances that lenders, underwriters, and appraisers cannot anticipate.  Life has a nasty way of reminding this from time to time.  Many Americans will benefit from and because of FHA mortgages.  I am proud to serve those wish to take the next step on getting their piece of the American dream.  Wisconsin homebuyers, more specifically buyers in Walworth County, in places like Delavan, Lake Geneva, Elkhorn, Williams Bay, and Walworth should know there are many qualified lenders who can and will assist you both honestly and ethically.

I know its Halloween, but have some of you lost your minds?  Are you intentionally scaring your children about the doom of our economy? 

I read an article by Liz Pulliam Weston where she makes it clear some of us are doing just that.  It made me pause and ask myself if I’m in the same boat.  I know this; I will pay a lot better attention to it now. 

Take a look and tell me what you think.  Are you doing this? 

Wisconsin Rapids, Wisconsin — Sure, gas prices have come down lately.  But to 34.9 cents a gallon?

That’s what Kelly Joosten and dozens of other motorists paid at a Citgo station Monday.  The sign advertised $3.43 for a gallon of premium fuel, but the pump cost read $0.349 a gallon.

“That was amazing,” said Joosten, who normally spends about $100 to fill up her 1998 Ford Expedition.

Joosten proudly showed off her receipt for 25.36 gallons at $8.85.  She said she saw other motorists filling gas cans, too, at the discounted price.

Station owner JP Raval says the attendant on duty couldn’t figure out why the station was suddenly so busy.

Raval estimated 30 to 40 customers fueled up at the incorrect price — between 200 and 300 gallons worth — for about 90 minutes.

“People kept coming, so fast,” Raval said. “Everything was crowded; it was like a fairground.”